Geopolitical··Severity 8
Oil to End Year Near $100 on Mideast Disruptions, Rapidan Says
The breakdown of the US-Iran ceasefire threatens to leave Brent crude hovering around the $100-a-barrel mark well past July and into the end of the year, according to Rapidan Energy Group’s increased forecast.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
55%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Bloomberg Markets
Checking access status…