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Geopolitical··Severity 8

DR Congo says Rwanda-linked armed group agrees to disarm

Kinshasa described the development as a significant step toward restoring peace in the conflict‑hit east and implementing the US‑brokered Washington peace agreement signed by the DRC and Rwanda in June 2025.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

52%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: CGTN World

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