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Geopolitical··Severity 6

Ukraine supports Turkey's security initiatives in Black Sea — Fidan

The Turkish foreign minister emphasized that "the war impacts every sector," but Turkey advocates for a focused, separate approach to addressing security of navigation and energy supplies

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

44%

Сценарии event-driven intelligence

Primary source: TASS English

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