Military··Severity 6
US Premarket Movers for July 9, 2026
S&P 500 Index futures climb 0.2% as of 7:43 a.m. in New York. The US military struck Iran for a second day and Tehran retaliated against American allies in the Persian Gulf.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
49%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Bloomberg Markets
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