Military··Severity 6
Italy expels two Russian embassy military attachés over espionage
Italian Foreign Minister Antonio Tajani has said the Italian government decided on 9 July to expel two military attachés from the Russian embassy in Rome over espionage activities carried out on behalf of Moscow.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
47%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
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