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Geopolitical··Severity 6

Trump says US reinstating Hormuz blockade and charging ships for passage

Trump says US reinstating Hormuz blockade and charging ships for passage Trump says the US is "reinstating" a blockade on Iran in the Strait of Hormuz and will charge ships for safe passage. The US will be known as "THE GUARDIAN OF THE HORMUZ STRAIT", Trump wrote on Truth Social. "As such, and as a matter of FAIRNESS, will be reimbursed, at the rate of 20% on all cargo shipped, for any and all costs necessary to do the job of providing safety and security to this very volatile section of the World. The process and formation will begin immediately," he added.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

40%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Middle East Eye

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