Geopolitical··Severity 9
US launches strikes on Iran for third straight night as Trump says deal still 'possible'
Following the latest US strikes, the UAE said Iran attacked two ships in the Strait of Hormuz with missiles, as Iran said it carried out strikes on Bahrain.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
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72%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Euronews
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