Geopolitical··Severity 6
Latest Oil Market News and Analysis for July 16
Oil held a three-day gain as the US continued its attacks on Iran in a bid to secure shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
44%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Bloomberg Markets
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