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Geopolitical··Severity 8

Iran executes man over January protests as crackdown on dissent widens

Mohammad Amini Dehaghani was convicted of setting fire to a governor's office in Isfahan on 9 January, as Amnesty International says Iran is using wartime conditions as a pretext to accelerate politically motivated executions.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

60%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Euronews

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