Military··Severity 9
US strikes first tanker with missiles as it enforces new blockade
The US military targeted an unladen oil tanker which it said was heading for the key Iranian oil terminal on Kharg island.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
80%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: BBC World
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