Geopolitical··Severity 6
Iranian sources say US strikes hit civilian infrastructure
Iranian social media accounts, and local sources allege that US strikes caused casualties and hit infrastructure.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
42%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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