Geopolitical··Severity 9
How will Zelenskyy handle the growing political crisis at home?
Ukraine strikes Russian oil sites after major missile attack, as President Zelenskyy faces crisis over sacked minister.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
79%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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