Economic··Severity 7
Donald Trump says US to hit Canada with 50% tariffs
Washington accuses neighbour of engaging in unfair practices in move that could reignite trade war
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
41%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
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