Geopolitical··Severity 6
Two Russians handed down jail terms for terrorism and spying in Angola
The two, a political consultant and a translator, denied allegations of fomenting protests last year.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
37%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: BBC World
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