Geopolitical··Severity 9
Iran war live: US launches new attacks; Hegseth says war has cost $37.5bn
New attacks Trump threatens to bomb a suspected Iranian nuclear site called Pickaxe Mountain 'very heavily'.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
77%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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