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Military··Severity 8

George Answers Your Questions: The War, the Oil Crisis and American Politics

The War, the Oil Crisis and American Politics July 20, 2026 Question: In today’s email, you mention 2 options for the US in dealings with Iran- 1) expand the war or 2) settlement. Is there a 3rd option that reflects the last 48 years of the US military policy dealing with the IRGC- 3) accept […] The post George Answers Your Questions: The War, the Oil Crisis and American Politics appeared first on Geopolitical Futures .

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

68%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Geopolitical Futures

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