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Natural··Severity 9

‘Super’ El Nino: Africa facing mass migration, US$20 billion in damages

An ⁠impending ‘super’ El Nino is likely to inflict a combined US$10 billion to US$20 billion of damage ⁠in affected African countries and trigger mass migration from hard-hit areas, the African Development Bank’s (AfDB) top climate expert said. Forecasters are warning that the El Nino weather pattern – which often drives severe droughts, flooding and storms in Africa – could turn into one of the strongest ever seen if current Pacific Ocean warming trends continue. As well as the threat to food...

Scenario chain

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Эскалация

55%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: South China Morning Post

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