← Scenarios catalogue
Natural··Severity 7

More than 360,000 evacuated as wildfires rage in France and Spain

French and Spanish authorities are struggling to contain the blazes, which are partly caused by successive heatwaves.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

34%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Al Jazeera

Checking access status…