Social··Severity 6
RIMPAC 2026 and the Future of Multinational Maritime Operations in the Indo-Pacific
This year's iteration of the exercise reflects several important strategic concepts – and a focus on countering China's navy.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
27%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: The Diplomat
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