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Geopolitical··Severity 9

Where do the US-Iran talks to end the war stand?

US president Donald Trump says there's a good chance a deal can be reached with Iran to end the war. The statement comes after the stopped airstrikes on the Islamic Republic over the weekend. For more on the latest diplomatic effort to end the conflict, here's this report.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

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Эскалация

66%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: France24

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