Geopolitical··Severity 8
'No safe options' for thousands sheltering in key Sudan city as RSF fighters advance
International leaders have issued warnings the RSF may be preparing to attack the city, raising fears of further atrocities being committed.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
62%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: BBC World
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