Geopolitical··Severity 8
US’ latest strikes on Iran don’t mean resumption of full-scale hostilities — media
A US official separately told The Wall Street Journal that this attack was more powerful than the previous ones
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
62%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
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