Geopolitical··Severity 6
Peter Frankopan on Trump’s Iran ‘War of Choice'
"If you decide to fight a war of choice, it's very hard to win." 'The Silk Roads' author Peter Frankopan tells Mishal Husain why America is struggling to defeat Iran. (Source: Bloomberg)
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
40%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Bloomberg Markets
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