Geopolitical··Severity 6
Ukraine strikes Russian artillery repair base, fuel depots and drone launch site
Ukraine's defence forces struck Russian logistics depots, a repair base, drone facilities and a communications hub in occupied Crimea and Russia on the night of 2-3 August.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
44%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
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