Geopolitical··Severity 8
Iran attacks US Gulf allies, causing a fire at Kuwait power plant
Kuwait and Bahrain report several rounds of Iranian missile, drone attacks; sirens reportedly sound in Jordan.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
65%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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