Geopolitical··Severity 6
Greek shipping carve-out on Russia sanctions prompts EU rethink
European officials seek ways to curb veto tactics in negotiations
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
43%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
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