Social··Severity 6
Kiev deliberately targets homes, civilian facilities — Russia’s top investigator
Alexander Bastrykin said the enemy sought to intimidate civilians and inflict serious damage
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
27%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
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