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Geopolitical··Severity 6

US weapons makers’ sales soar as Iran war creates order backlog

Pentagon is pushing major defence contractors to increase production rates to rebuild depleted stockpiles

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

40%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: FT World

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