Military··Severity 6
Russian analyst says Drapaty appointment can't reverse 'sinking Titanic' that is Ukraine
Alexander Protsenko said that everything depends on the Ukrainian armed forces’ performance under Mikhail Drapaty's command, and, given the current climate, Ukrainian troops will continue to retreat
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
49%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
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