Geopolitical··Severity 6
Aliyev says former Russian and German officials were in Baku for possible meeting over Ukraine
Azerbaijan’s president revealed that former Russian and German officials were in Baku at the same time earlier in July, but that Azerbaijan’s authorities were neither notified nor aware of the meeting, which might have involved discussions over Ukraine.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
42%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Euronews
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