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Geopolitical··Severity 6

EU ambassadors fail to agree on 21st sanction package against Russia — source

Negotiations have been postponed until next week

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

39%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: TASS English

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