Geopolitical··Severity 6
Russia’s Novorossiysk Resumed Crude Loadings After Days of Halt
The largest Russian oil port in the Black Sea resumed crude loadings after several days of disruption, during a period of bad weather and increased drone attacks in the nearby area.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
44%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Bloomberg Markets
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