Natural··Severity 7
Watch: Scaffolding ripped from Hong Kong building as Typhoon Noul makes landfall
Typhoon Noul is the strongest to make landfall in China so far this year, according to state media.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
31%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: BBC World
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