Geopolitical··Severity 6
US launches new attacks on Iran as Tehran targets Gulf sites
Iran's Health Ministry has said at least 35 people have been killed and more than 300 injured since fighting resumed.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
42%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
Checking access status…