Economic··Severity 7
Russia forced to import fuel from India as Ukrainian strikes damage refineries
Shipment underlines crisis facing Moscow after drone attacks cut supplies and led to widespread shortages
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
50%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
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