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Economic··Severity 7

German Bond Yields Hit 15-Year High as Oil Spikes Before ECB

German bond yields rose to the highest level since 2011 as surging energy prices and mounting inflation expectations fueled bets on interest-rate hikes ahead of the European Central Bank’s decision later Thursday.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

44%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Bloomberg Markets

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