Catalogue

Scenario archive

Open feed of trigger events. Click a card to see the chain, A/B/C probabilities and the fact-check after the horizon resolves.

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Recent fighting with Iran further draws down key US air defense stockpiles , analysis says – Winnipeg Free Press

August 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 8

Kiev pursues media hype by attacking Wildberries warehouses in Russia — security official

Deputy Secretary of Russia’s Security Council Alexander Maslennikov emphasized that this is an attempt to destabilize small businesses

August 6, 2026

Socialseverity 6

Shanghai Clearing House targets global growth with expanded offshore yuan push

China is pushing a new model to boost international sales of its domestic bonds, with the Shanghai Clearing House (SHCH) leveraging global financial networks to expand the offshore yuan pool. Writing in a recent article, SHCH chief Ma Jianyang noted that the initiative was designed to solidify Shanghai’s dominance in offshore yuan derivatives clearing while insulating the domestic market from cross-border financial risks. As part of this push, SHCH will broaden its clearing services for offshore...

August 6, 2026

Economicseverity 7

Gold Edges Lower as Traders Assess Prospects for Fed Rate Hike

Gold edged lower ahead of a finely balanced interest-rate decision by the Federal Reserve due later Wednesday.

August 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Are there already worrying signs for Vrancken's Hearts?

Former Hearts forward Ryan Stevenson delivers a scathing verdict as Wouter Vrancken's reign begins with a chastening Champions League elimination.

August 6, 2026

Socialseverity 6

UPS CEO on Return to Growth, Global Economic Outlook

UPS CEO Carol Tomé sees a positive future for the company ahead in large part to the restructuring of priorities away from Amazon delivery, and upgrades to their digital platforms and infrastructure. She speaks to Romaine Bostick on Bloomberg's 'The Close.' (Source: Bloomberg)

August 6, 2026

Socialseverity 6

College lab class ends with 32 people on antibiotics for deadly germ exposure

Lab students were supposed to ID a mild germ. They all identified a deadly pathogen.

August 6, 2026

Socialseverity 6

Reaction wheel failures leave Swift rescue mission spinning in orbit

"Preliminary investigation shows that two of Link's three reaction wheels currently are not operable."

August 6, 2026

Socialseverity 6

Life in prison, no parole, for US teenager who killed 4 in Georgia school shooting

A US teenager who shot dead four people at a high school with a gun his father gave him as a Christmas present was sentenced to life in prison on Tuesday. Colt Gray, 16, pleaded guilty to carrying out the September 2024 attack at Apalachee High School in the town of Winder, Georgia. Gray was 14 years old when he shot dead two 14-year-old pupils and two teachers, while also wounding nine other people. He was charged as an adult. Superior Court Judge Nicholas Primm sentenced Gray to life in prison...

August 6, 2026

Militaryseverity 9

US Centcom says Iran launched multiple ballistic missiles at troops

US Centcom says Iran launched multiple ballistic missiles at troops US Central Command (Centcom) said on Tuesday that Iran launched multiple ballistic missiles in an “attempted surprise attack on US forces based in the Middle East.” "All Iranian missiles were successfully intercepted," Centcom said in a statement to X, adding that "forces remain vigilant and at a high state of readiness." Axios also reported on Tuesday that Iran launched ballistic missiles towards a US Base in Jordan, citing a US official. At 5:45 p.m. ET today, Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps forces launched multiple ballistic missiles from Iran in an attempted surprise attack on U.S. forces based in the Middle East. All Iranian missiles were successfully intercepted. U.S. forces remain vigilant and at a high… — U.S. Central Command (@CENTCOM) July 28, 2026

August 6, 2026

Economicseverity 7

Rio Tinto’s Half-Year Profit Rises on Strong Commodity Prices

Rio Tinto Group posted a rise in first-half profit as strong commodity prices outweighed the impact of China’s economic slowdown, US tariff campaigns and conflict in the Middle East.

August 6, 2026

Socialseverity 6

Mount Olympus and D-Day beaches among new World Heritage Sites

From the peaks of Mount Olympus in Greece to the shores of the “D-Day” beaches in France, 25 cultural or natural landmarks from across the globe have been newly inscribed on the World Heritage List, updated annually by the UN Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO).

August 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 9

Kuwait condemns Iranian attacks on country

Kuwait condemns Iranian attacks on country Kuwait’s Council of Ministers has condemned Iran’s attacks on the country, according to state media. The Council said the attacks represent a “serious escalation” and pose a “direct threat” to regional security.

August 6, 2026

Militaryseverity 8

Kiev troops bombard Donetsk People’s Republic 12 times over past day

Seven civilians were reported to sustain wounds

August 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 9

Saudi Arabia says it shot down more drones as Houthis claim to have turned back tanker

Saudi Arabia said on Tuesday that it shot down drones fired by Iran-backed militias in Iraq for a second day, while Iran-backed Houthi rebels in Yemen claimed to have forced a Saudi oil tanker to turn around as part of their self-styled blockade of the kingdom. The attacks underscored lingering tensions despite a period of calm between the United States and Iran, neither of which has announced attacks for days following weeks of escalation over the Strait of Hormuz. The Saudi Defence Ministry...

August 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 9

UKMTO reports explosions heard in the southern Red Sea

UKMTO reports explosions heard in the southern Red Sea The UK Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO) said on Tuesday that a tanker reported an explosion while crossing the Red Sea. It added in a post on X that the crew and vessel are safe and no environmental damage was reported. This comes after Yemen's Houthis said earlier on Tuesday that they fired ballistic missiles at a Saudi Arabian oil tanker in the Red Sea for violating their maritime blockade and ignoring warning calls. UKMTO WARNING 098-26 Click here to view the full product.⤵️ https://t.co/tcIhYeGNrb #MaritimeSecurity #MarSec pic.twitter.com/HYmhbM0E36 — UKMTO Operations Centre (@UK_MTO) July 28, 2026

August 6, 2026

Economicseverity 7

US bans new Chinese robots, power inverters in latest tech crackdown

The Trump administration on Tuesday announced bans on imports of new Chinese robots and power inverters, citing threats to US national security and supply chain vulnerabilities. Without naming China, the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) expanded its Covered List to include two new categories of foreign-made equipment: advanced robotic devices and connected power inverters. The robotic devices included mobile robots, such as humanoids and quadrupeds. The action would ban the import and...

August 6, 2026

Socialseverity 6

Space Industry Needs Economic Infrastructure Says Nebex CEO

Tejpaul Bhatia, the CEO of Nebex, said that his company, which is aimed at building a financial operating system for the space industry, saw an economic gap in the growth of space travel as more money is put into the growth of the commercial space industry. Bhatia compared the potential of a space economy to the role of American Express and Wells Fargo at the beginning of the railroad industry. (Source: Bloomberg)

August 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 8

Latest Oil Market News and Analysis for July 29

Oil held the bulk of a three-day decline on optimism that the US and Iran may be able to forge a diplomatic solution to end the war in the Middle East, with the conflict now in its sixth month.

August 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Seales leads West Indies to first Test win over Pakistan

Jayden Seales takes 5-20 in second innings as West Indies' pace attack ruthlessly blow away Pakistan to secure a 90-run victory just after tea on day four of the first Test.

August 6, 2026

Socialseverity 6

Abusive chanting against immigrants in English football on rise, new data reveals

Reported incidents of all discrimination reach new high Reports of abuse in grassroots football rose for fifth year Abusive chanting against immigrants has become a feature of football matches in England, according to new data from Kick It Out. Last season 39 reports of anti-immigrant chanting were made to the anti-discrimination charity, more than the previous two seasons combined. Phrases such as “stop the boats” and “send them back” were reported as being heard “at all levels of the game”, as part of a growing trend of discriminatory “mass chanting” at matches, Kick It Out said. Continue reading...

August 6, 2026

Socialseverity 7

Jersey boy Filip Nowacki comes of age with showstopping gold

Teenager dominates men’s 200m breaststroke final Win makes him island’s most successful Games athlete Filip Nowacki secured his status as Jersey’s most successful Commonwealth Games athlete by storming to a historic gold medal in the men’s 200m breaststroke. The 18-year-old led from start to finish in a commanding display, touching the wall in 2min 07.87sec before erupting in celebration as he climbed on to the lane dividers and slapped the water in delight while soaking up the enthusiastic applause around the Tollcross International Swimming Centre as Jersey flags waved. Canada’s Oliver Dawson claimed silver, with Australia’s Olympic champion, Zac Stubblety-Cook, taking bronze. Continue reading...

August 6, 2026

Socialseverity 6

Barcola agrees Liverpool move - Wednesday's gossip

PSG's Bradley Barcola verbally agrees to join Liverpool but clubs apart on valuation, Real Madrid have no plans to sell Vinicius Jr, Everton want around £70m for Iliman Ndiaye, plus more.

August 6, 2026

Socialseverity 6

Kick It Out wants tougher sanctions as discrimination hits new high

Anti-discrimination body Kick It Out says tougher sanctions are needed to punish discrimination in football, as the number of annual incidents hits a record high.

August 6, 2026

11 / 1024