Catalogue

Scenario archive

Open feed of trigger events. Click a card to see the chain, A/B/C probabilities and the fact-check after the horizon resolves.

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

Lamine Yamal a genius ‘like Dalí or Michelangelo’, says Spain’s De la Fuente

‘What we think is exceptional, they consider normal’ Coach says Lamine Yamal fit to start against Saudi Arabia Luis de la Fuente urged people not to compare Lamine Yamal to Lionel Messi, Diego Maradona or “anyone”, but did compare him to Salvador Dalí and Michelangelo – “geniuses” for whom the exceptional comes naturally. On the eve of their second World Cup game, against Saudi Arabia in Atlanta, it was put to the Spain coach that Lamine Yamal is confronted by a process similar to those faced by Lionel Messi and Diego Maradona but at the age of 18. His image is everywhere in the United States, a global figure already, and the buildup to the selección ’s participation at the tournament has been dominated by his availability after an injury he suffered in April – a teenager cast as their hope and salvation. Continue reading...

June 20, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 8

Israeli strikes in Lebanon kill seven

Israeli strikes in Lebanon kill seven Lebanon's health ministry said late Saturday that fresh Israeli strikes in the south and east of the country had killed seven people. Five people, including a woman and child, were killed in the east of the country and two Palestinians were killed in the southern Tyre region, said the ministry. These latest strikes came before a pause noted by an AFP correspondent, when the Israeli army said it had received orders from the country's political leadership to halt attacks on southern Lebanon.

June 20, 2026

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

Undav scores twice as Germany fight back to beat Ivory Coast

Deniz Undav rescues Germany with his second-half double helping them to come from behind to defeat Ivory Coast and book their place in the knockout stages of the World Cup.

June 20, 2026

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

Undav injury-time goal sees Germany beat Ivory Coast to top World Cup group

Germany come from behind to beat Ivory Coast 2-1 in Group E, sealing FIFA World Cup 2026 knockout place.

June 20, 2026

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

New museum brings Thai artist Tang Chang back into focus

June 20, 2026

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

Ecuador v Curaçao: World Cup 2026 – live

⚽️ World Cup kick-off: 8pm EDT/1am BST/10am AEST ⚽️ Player guide | Bracketology | Golden Boot | Mail Alex Hello folks! Alexander Abnos here, and I’m thrilled to be able to follow this match along with all of you. Curaçao enters the game on the back of a 7-1 drubbing by Germany. The lopsided scoreline was perhaps expected, what with Germany’s status as a world power and Curaçao being the smallest country ever to qualify for a World Cup. Continue reading...

June 20, 2026

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

Deniz Undav’s double earns Germany dramatic late win against Côte d’Ivoire

For the first time in more than a decade, Germany will play in the World Cup knockout stages. Their 2-1 victory at the death over Côte d’Ivoire in a lively tie here on Saturday saw to that. Franck Kessié’s 30th-minute goal for Les Éléphants was cancelled out by Deniz Undav’s 68th-minute equaliser and 94th-minute winner for Die Mannschaft. The victory put the four-time world champions on six points, although the youngest team at this tournament gave the Germans a far tougher test than in the 7-1 crunching of Curaçao six days ago. Continue reading...

June 20, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Report says UK PM Starmer ready to quit, but source says he is still focused on the job

⁠Britain’s Observer newspaper said ⁠UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer was expected to resign on Monday and set out a timetable for his departure, though a government source ‌said the leader remained focused on getting on with the job of governing. The threat to Starmer’s position, which has been building for months, increased sharply on Friday when his rival Andy Burnham won a ⁠seat in parliament that would allow him to launch a ‌formal leadership challenge. The Observer report said Starmer was...

June 20, 2026

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

Germany reach World Cup knockout stage for first time since 2014

Germany defeated Ivory Coast 2-1

June 20, 2026

scenarios.types.socialseverity 7

Country music fan Kane leaves Ella Langley gig early to make curfew

Harry Kane and Dan Burn were among the England players at a concert of US country music star Ella Langley, but had to leave early to make their curfew.

June 20, 2026

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

World Cup 2026: Germany book knockout spot with comeback win over Ivory Coast

June 20, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Stabbing attacks in Edinburgh investigated as anti-Muslim hate crimes

Scottish man is arrested after rampage in capital leaves five injured

June 20, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Explosions reported in occupied Crimea, fires break out in Kerch – photos, videos

The occupation authorities announced the closure of the Crimean Bridge shortly before 01:00 on Sunday 21 June, while reports emerged on social media about explosions in Crimea and fires caused by strikes in Kerch.

June 20, 2026

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

England close in on T20 semis spot with victory over Scotland

England put on an impressive batting display to defeat Scotland by 38 runs in their ICC Women's T20 World Cup Group Two match at Headingley.

June 20, 2026

Naturalseverity 7

How ‘lying flat’ went from a niche subculture to mainstream phenomenon

In late April, China’s top intelligence agency claimed that foreign forces were weaponising the concept of “lying flat” to dispel young people’s “belief in striving” and undermine social values. Once a niche subculture, “lying flat” has evolved into a mainstream phenomenon over the past five years. “Lying flat” became a buzzword on Chinese social media around 2021 during the coronavirus pandemic. At the time, the phrase was usually applied to people who had completely dropped out of the rat...

June 20, 2026

Militaryseverity 8

Israeli strikes kill six people in Gaza including Al Jazeera cameraman, officials say

The Israeli military accused Ahmed Wishah of being a "Hamas sniper operative", without providing evidence.

June 20, 2026

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

Uncertain World Cup for Paraguay’s Almiron, sent off for covering his mouth

Almiron received the first red card for covering his mouth in the World Cup Group D match against Turkiye.

June 20, 2026

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

‘Gary, that’s my job’: Lineker makes ITV presenting cameo on World Cup coverage

Gary Lineker in familiar territory as he kicked off his ITV appearance with a light-hearted cameo as a presenter Gary Lineker was back in familiar territory on Saturday night as he returned to free-to-air TV and even kicked off his ITV appearance with a brief cameo as a presenter. Lineker, who presented BBC’s Match of the Day for 26 years until he departed the corporation last May, was revealed on Friday as a pundit for ITV’s World Cup coverage of Germany against Côte d’Ivoire in Group E. Continue reading...

June 20, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Vance departs for Switzerland for talks with Iran — aide

The US vice president said earlier on Saturday that he could travel to Switzerland "within a couple of days"

June 20, 2026

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

Farewell, Scotland: Boston won’t forget the Tartan Army

They arrived with kilts, songs and endless optimism. They leave behind unforgettable memories. For one week, Boston belonged to the Tartan Army. As Scotland's supporters head to Miami, their next World Cup destination, they say goodbye to a city that embraced them from day one.

June 20, 2026

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

Iranian delegation arrives in Switzerland

Iranian delegation arrives in Switzerland Iran’s delegation has arrived in Switzerland to take part in the technical talks tomorrow, Iran’s semi-official Tasnim news agency reported. The delegation is led by Iran’s parliamentary speaker Mohammad Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi. Meanwhile, Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and army chief Field Marshal Asim Munir are on their way to Switzerland to join the technical-level talks between the US and Iran tomorrow, according to the prime minister's office.

June 20, 2026

Militaryseverity 9

Iran says closed Strait of Hormuz as US deal hits obstacle ahead of Swiss talks

Iran said Saturday it had closed the Strait of Hormuz in response to Israel’s military campaign in Lebanon, while warning that upcoming talks with the United States in Switzerland are unlikely to advance unless the fighting stops. President Donald Trump countered by threatening U.S.-imposed tolls on shipping through the strategic waterway if a final agreement is not reached within 60 days.

June 20, 2026

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

Impressive England beat Scotland to close on semis

England's batting sparkles again as the hosts close on a place in the T20 World Cup semi-finals with an 38-run victory over Scotland at Headingley.

June 20, 2026

scenarios.types.socialseverity 6

Sophia Dunkley smashes England past Scotland as T20 World Cup winning run goes on

Group 2: England, 200-5, bt Scotland, 162-7, by 38 runs Three wins out of three for hosts who top Group 2 England’s grudge match against Scotland at Headingley ended in a convincing win for the World Cup hosts by 38 runs, to ensure they maintained their position atop Group B. England were without their captain Nat Sciver-Brunt, who is missing this match and Wednesday’s game against West Indies after aggravating her existing calf injury. Sciver-Brunt is England’s best batter, and has looked it so far in this World Cup with scores of 46 and 48, so there was some concern as to how the lineup might fare in her absence. Continue reading...

June 20, 2026

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