Catalogue
Scenario archive
Open feed of trigger events. Click a card to see the chain, A/B/C probabilities and the fact-check after the horizon resolves.
Do Britons pay a lot of tax?
My theory is that the UK is a cultural piggy-in-the-middle between the main EU economies and the Anglosphere
August 6, 2026
European wildfires expose shortage of Canadair water-bomber planes
Lack of amphibious aircraft sparks political backlash as France and Spain fight blazes
August 6, 2026
China’s commercial space boom poses strategic challenge for the US
Research warns Washington should be alarmed at military implications of the sector’s rapid expansion
August 6, 2026
Woodside Natural Gas Output Slumps on Cyclone, Maintenance
Woodside Energy Group Ltd., Australia’s biggest natural gas exporter, said output slumped by more than a quarter in the three months through June after a cyclone that impacted operations and planned maintenance at its Pluto export plant.
August 6, 2026
Chinese owners of UK private schools criticized after closures
August 6, 2026
Iraqi paramilitary force condemns Saudi-US attacks on headquarters
Iraqi paramilitary force condemns Saudi-US attacks on headquarters Iraq’s Popular Mobilisation Forces (PMF) has confirmed that its headquarters across the country were targeted, causing casualties and damage to its facilities. According to the PMF, eight members were killed in joint Saudi-US strikes in northern Iraq’s Nineveh. The paramilitary force said the latest attacks represent a "highly dangerous escalation" and are a violation of Iraq’s sovereignty and official security institutions. Assessments of the situation and death toll counts are ongoing, the statement added.
August 6, 2026
Netanyahu calls meeting with Trump at White House 'excellent'
Netanyahu calls meeting with Trump at White House 'excellent' Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said on Tuesday that he had an “excellent” meeting with US President Donald Trump at the White House. Netanyahu also said that they discussed a “full partnership, mutual support, and a shared understanding of our common objective” to prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons. “When I say excellent, it’s not just lip service.” Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said on Tuesday that he had an “excellent” meeting with US President Donald Trump at the White House pic.twitter.com/uAwk5Pchx3 — Middle East Eye (@MiddleEastEye) July 29, 2026
August 6, 2026
Centcom warns Iran and 'terrorist proxies' to halt attacks to avoid US strikes
Centcom warns Iran and 'terrorist proxies' to halt attacks to avoid US strikes The US Central Command (Centcom) said it conducted "precision strikes" alongside Saudi Arabian Armed Forces against Iran-aligned groups. It said that attacks struck several logistics and weapons sites across eastern Iraq in a "strong response to over 30 IRGC-directed aerial drone attacks in the last 72 hours". "The IRGC and its terrorist proxies must cease these attacks to avoid further U.S. military response," Centcom added.
August 6, 2026
Japan quake death toll rises to 13 after newly reopened Aeon Mall collapses
Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi said 13 people have been found dead after a powerful quake shook part of southwestern Japan and rescue work was continuing Wednesday morning for the missing. A magnitude 7.1 earthquake struck the Kumamoto area on the southern main island of Kyushu late on Tuesday afternoon. “There are people who are still waiting to be rescued, and it’s a race against time,” Takaichi said. “We will go all out to find and rescue as many people as we can.” Takaichi offered...
August 6, 2026
At least 20 missing in Japan earthquake as rescue operations continue
Between 20 and 30 employees remain unaccounted for following an explosion at Aeon Mall Kumamoto in Japan's Kumamoto Prefecture on Tuesday, after a powerful earthquake struck the region earlier, public broadcaster NHK reported.
August 6, 2026
White House says Trump-Netanyahu talks 'productive'
US President Donald Trump met with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu at the White House on Tuesday in their first in-person talks since the United States and Israel launched joint military operations against Iran on February 28.
August 6, 2026
China opposes US move to sanction Chinese research institutions
China expressed strong dissatisfaction and firm opposition after the US Department of Defense placed some Chinese research institutions on a sanctions list, the Ministry of Commerce said on Wednesday.
August 6, 2026
Iran, Ukraine pledge to avoid escalation after ship attack
Iran's Foreign Minister Seyed Abbas Araghchi said on Tuesday that his Ukrainian counterpart, Andrii Sybiha, has assured him that Ukraine's Saturday attack on an Iranian commercial ship was "unintentional" and that Ukraine "does not seek escalation."
August 6, 2026
13 dead after powerful quake strikes Japan's Kumamoto
Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi said on Wednesday that 13 people had been confirmed dead after a powerful earthquake struck Kumamoto Prefecture in southwestern Japan.
August 6, 2026
Zhang earns maiden ISSF World Cup medal, Qi reaches podium again
Zhang earns maiden ISSF World Cup medal, Qi reaches podium again
August 6, 2026
Russia warns Japan's nuclear ambitions would erode regional stability
Russia warns Japan's nuclear ambitions would erode regional stability
August 6, 2026
Wang Yi calls for global cooperation to advance global development
Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi on Tuesday attended a high-level meeting in Beijing marking the fifth anniversary of the Global Development Initiative (GDI), calling on countries to uphold the banner of development, strengthen cooperation and work together to build a better future.
August 6, 2026
Powerful earthquake hits Japan's Kyushu, tsunami advisory lifted
Powerful earthquake hits Japan's Kyushu, tsunami advisory lifted
August 6, 2026
Hamas delegation heads to Cairo for Gaza ceasefire talks
A delegation from the Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas) left for the Egyptian capital Cairo on Tuesday to continue negotiations on implementing the second phase of the Gaza ceasefire agreement, the movement said.
August 6, 2026
China responds to planned US budget boost to counter its influence
The development of state-to-state relations and cooperation should not target any third party, Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Lin Jian said Tuesday.
August 6, 2026
UN chief condemns Israeli settler violence in West Bank
UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres has condemned the attacks by Israeli settlers in the West Bank, including arson attacks on two mosques, his deputy spokesperson said on Tuesday.
August 6, 2026
Zelenskyy says talks with Trump include Patriot production in Ukraine
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said on Tuesday he and US President Donald Trump discussed the production of US-designed Patriot air defense systems in Ukraine and diplomatic efforts to end the Ukraine-Russia conflict during their meeting at the White House.
August 6, 2026
Blasts reported in Iraqi paramilitary force’s headquarters in Basra
Blasts reported in Iraqi paramilitary force’s headquarters in Basra Explosion have been reported at the headquarters of the Popular Mobilisation Forces (PMF) in Iraq's southern Basra province, according to Al Jazeera. The source did not indicate what the source of the blast was or any other immediate details. The PMF is a government umbrella organisation that oversees various paramilitary groups, including those close to Iran.
August 6, 2026
HSBC to relocate senior executive to Hong Kong amid pivot to Asia: sources
HSBC Holdings will relocate its group chief people and governance officer, Aileen Taylor, from London to Hong Kong later this year, as the lender doubles down on expanding its Hong Kong and Asia operations, according to sources at the bank. A source told the South China Morning Post that an internal decision to relocate Taylor to Hong Kong had already been made, as part of a push to strengthen the presence of senior executives in Hong Kong – HSBC’s biggest market and its focus of...
August 6, 2026