Catalogue

Scenario archive

Open feed of trigger events. Click a card to see the chain, A/B/C probabilities and the fact-check after the horizon resolves.

Socialseverity 6

Confronting gang members at the heart of Ecuador's drug battle

Orla Guerin speaks to a gang leader about violence, drugs and infiltrating the police.

August 6, 2026

Naturalseverity 7

Devastating European wildfires in maps - and how they're being tackled

A blaze near Bordeaux has torn through more than 162 sq miles (420 sq km) in less than four days, while the Madrid region is seeing its worst fires ever.

August 6, 2026

Naturalseverity 7

China's new challenge as natural disasters strike - fake AI videos

Storms and flooding incidents over the last few months have seen fake videos inundating social media.

August 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 8

As the US pauses the war with Iran, is Trump really running out of weapons?

The US has fired thousands of hard-to-replace missiles during its war with Iran. We unpack whether its "arsenal of freedom" is perilously low.

August 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

A Japanese town wrestles with identity after protests over its first mosque

As Japan increasingly relies on foreign workers, it is also grappling with how to integrate new cultures and religions.

August 6, 2026

Naturalseverity 7

'It's a hell of a situation': Spain grapples with devastating wildfires

Three fires in the Madrid region have caused special concerns, with a new heatwave expected to hit Spain from Wednesday.

August 6, 2026

Naturalseverity 7

Japan earthquake: What we know so far

Japan is reeling from a major 7.1 earthquake that hit Kyushu island. Here is what we know so far.

August 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Shots fired at US consulate in Toronto for a second time this year

Police said they engaged in a high-speed car chase but failed to arrest the suspect, who remains at large. Three people were arrested in June after a similar attack.

August 6, 2026

Socialseverity 6

Three dead and several injured in shooting at food festival near Seattle's Space Needle

Several others, including a two-year-old boy, were also injured. Seattle Mayor Katie Wilson says a suspect is in custody.

August 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Hong Kong activist allowed to stay in UK after deportation threat

Wu was detained for hours at London's Heathrow Airport last week and refused entry, he told the BBC.

August 6, 2026

Socialseverity 7

Uefa says Fifa plan for private investment in World Cup 'crosses line'

European football's governing body Uefa reacts furiously to proposals from Fifa to seek private investment in its competitions, including the World Cup.

August 6, 2026

Socialseverity 6

'A narcissist': Family hit out at Bryan Kohberger for challenging murder conviction

The man accused of killing four students is taking back his plea, which was made to avoid the death penalty.

August 6, 2026

Socialseverity 6

Seattle pays tribute to food festival shooting victims

Families grieved on Monday as they remembered the three people killed in a shooting at a food festival.

August 6, 2026

Socialseverity 6

Odyssey translator writes scathing review of Nolan film adaptation

The film has won rave reviews from film critics but a translator of Homer's work was less than impressed.

August 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Zelensky and Netanyahu meet Trump as wars in Ukraine and Iran drag on

The two leaders sound encouraged after holding back-to-back bilaterals at the White House.

August 6, 2026

Naturalseverity 7

Gironde wildfires pick up as French region braces for new 40C heatwave

Firefighters are braced for a sharp rise in temperatures on Wednesday, which could complicate the containment of wildfires.

August 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 8

Iran and US trade strikes, shattering brief lull in fighting

US Central Command says it intercepted "multiple" ballistic missiles fired by Iran.

August 6, 2026

Naturalseverity 7

Watch: The moment quake hit Japan

Video shows locations across the region where a strong earthquake struck Japan's Kyushu island on 28 July.

August 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Senate votes to advance new sanctions on Russia , named for Sen . Lindsey Graham

August 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Desalojo de Puente Quemado II : avance del poder forestal sobre territorio Mbya – ANRed

August 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Fuel Reprieve Masks Mounting Inflationary Pressures

August 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Власти заявили о необходимости реконструкции Белоцерковской ТЭЦ

August 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

宁德时代的焦虑 , 和英伟达一模一样 - 钛媒体官方网站

August 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Audytor to nie wróg . Błędy w systemach mogą kosztować więcej niż audyt

August 6, 2026

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