Catalogue

Scenario archive

Open feed of trigger events. Click a card to see the chain, A/B/C probabilities and the fact-check after the horizon resolves.

Geopoliticalseverity 6

미국 - 이란 전쟁 , 홍해 · 카스피해로 확대되나 … 우크라 , 카스피해서 이란 선박 타격

August 4, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Иран пригрозил Украине ответом после удара по судну в Каспийском море

August 4, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Báo Mỹ : Tổng thống Trump chỉ thị tạm hoãn các cuộc tấn công Iran do cạn kiệt tên lửa đánh chặn

August 4, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Iš Kazachstano prezidento – antausis V . Putinui : užfiksavo reakciją

August 4, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Mediators intensify US - Iran diplomacy after Trump orders pause in strikes : sources

August 4, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Iran improving cheaper , more accurate missiles that put target on entire Middle East

August 4, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

أحمد الشرع : نعمل على اتفاق أمني مع إسرائيل ولن نتدخل عسكريا في لبنان

August 4, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Mỹ hoãn tấn công Iran vì thiếu tên lửa

August 4, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Zelenski alerta de que Rusia prepara la llegada de otros 30 . 000 soldados norcoreanos

August 4, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

涉策劃政變與煽動致命暴動 兩名俄羅斯男子在安哥拉獲刑 | 國際

August 4, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

2nd consecutive day passes without US strikes on Iran after 2 weeks of bombardment as mediators intensify diplomacy

August 4, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

美暂停空袭伊朗传因弹药储备压力 德黑兰停止报复性攻击 | 国际

August 4, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

ईरान की मिसाइलों से हिला अमेरिका ; सबसे बड़े हमले से पीछे हटे ट्रम्प , सेना को कार्रवाई रोकने का आदेश - trump holds off on major war escalation against iran as advisers raise concerns

August 4, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

AS Setop Serang Iran , Mulai Khawatir Amunisi Menipis

August 4, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Ukraine strikes Iranian vessels , Tehran accuses Kyiv of hostile act

August 4, 2026

Militaryseverity 9

Lindsey Graham's legacy: Relentless warmongering dressed in folksy charm

Lindsey Graham's legacy: Relentless warmongering dressed in folksy charm Submitted by Ammiel Alcalay on Thu, 07/16/2026 - 16:10 From the Iraq quagmire to Israel's genocide in Gaza, the late senator never encountered a military intervention he didn't like Senator Lindsey Graham arrives to speak with US President Donald Trump during a rally in Charlotte, North Carolina, on 2 March 2020 (Brendan Smialowski/AFP) Off While the ideological and propagandistic projection of American exceptionalism as a force for good in the world has taken some lethal blows lately, this fantasy remains alive and well when US politicians are eulogised, no matter how thin the homespun platitudes get. Republican Senator Lindsey Graham, who died this month , was generally portrayed as an avuncular figure who “got along with everybody”, as President Donald Trump put it , despite their once-acrimonious relationship. John Thune, the Senate majority leader, said Graham “believed in the might of America to achieve good in the world”. This “regular guy” image stands far removed from Graham’s actual role as an instrumental cog in the military-industrial machine, which churns out misery and death through US imperialist campaigns of destruction and extraction around the world. Responses across the aisle echoed the same consensus, reflecting a duopoly that drives Department of War budgets, support for US military interventions, and regime-change operations around the globe - without ever connecting those policies to their effects on actual, and much less powerful, “regular” people worldwide. Among Democratic senators, Mark Warner posted that he was “heartbroken”; Adam Schiff lauded Graham’s “sense of humor”; Amy Klobuchar remarked on “his love for the world … and the pure joy he brought to life”; and Elizabeth Warren noted : “Even though we disagreed on much, he was always willing to negotiate, with humor and wit.” Many left-leaning commentators were not quite as sanguine. Brandon Friedman , a veteran of the Iraq War, wrote in response to Schiff’s post: “What I’ll remember most about Senator Graham is how he sent my friends to die in an unnecessary war in Iraq.” Political consultant Jamison Foser scathingly noted : “Deeply saddened to learn of the loss of my dear friend Satan, the Prince of Lies. Though we often disagreed about matters such as the appropriate role of torture in the afterlife, I will most remember how his quick wit and affable nature made our weekly golf outings a ritual. He will be missed.” 'With Israel to our dying day' Some conservative and MAGA-affiliated commentators had also turned on Graham in recent days, particularly after he gleefully declared of the US-Israeli war on Iran : “I’m with Israel. I will be with Israel to our dying day … I’m going back to South Carolina, I’m asking them to send their sons and daughters into the Mideast.” Podcaster Megyn Kelly shot back on X (formerly Twitter): “The problem with Graham isn’t (just) that he’s a homicidal maniac, it’s that Trump likes and is listening to him, and Trump’s favorite channel is parading him around like a Hefner bunny in stockings on every show.” Naturally, both Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky weighed in on Graham’s death, as the senator had been a staunch advocate of supporting Ukraine to the last Ukrainian, while encouraging Israel to use nuclear weapons against those resisting its genocidal terror. In the cesspool of US politics, where campaign funds and backing from various lobbies are the name of the game, Graham had the ability to raise big money Netanyahu posted that “Sara and I grieve with the American people over the loss of our dear friend”, while Zelensky hailed Graham as “a true defender of freedom and the values that make our world safer”. In the US mainstream media, the obvious questions are never asked: safer for whom? For Afghans, Iraqis , Libyans , Palestinians , Lebanese or Iranians - to mention only a few peoples and nations that have been on the receiving end of American military belligerence, so tirelessly advocated by Graham? And to whose lives exactly, to quote Klobuchar, did he bring such joy? In his now-infamous rant on Meet the Press in May 2024, during a discussion around the supposed “red line” not to be crossed in Gaza’s Rafah, Graham went full “Dr Strangelove” on host Kristen Welker, barely letting her get a word in edgewise as he pressed on. “So when we were faced with destruction as a nation after Pearl Harbour, fighting the Germans and the Japanese, we decided to end the war by bombing Hiroshima and Nagasaki with nuclear weapons. That was the right decision,” Graham said. “Give Israel the bombs they need to end the war they can’t afford to lose, and work with them to minimise casualties … Why is it okay for America to drop two nuclear bombs on Hiroshima and Nagasaki to end their existential threat war? Why was it okay for us to do that? I thought it was okay. To Israel, do whatever you have to do to survive as a Jewish state.” Unholy alliance An unapologetic warmonger throughout his Senate career, Graham never encountered a military intervention he didn’t want to support. Amid the drumbeat for regime change in Iran, Graham gloated : “We’re going to make a ton of money.” In the cesspool of US politics, where campaign funds and backing from various lobbies are the name of the game, Graham had the ability to raise big money. Helping Netanyahu: Why Lindsey Graham declared occupied Golan as Israeli Read More » While Aipac and other supporters of Israel often contributed the lion’s share, Graham also drew funding from donors affiliated with global defence manufacturing giants Boeing, Lockheed Martin and Raytheon, along with others in the war industry. The end result of these lobbying campaigns - the destruction of countries, and the slaughter of millions of people - is rarely mentioned. As journalist Ahmed Asmar wrote in Middle East Monitor : “This devilish relationship between death merchants and their legislative allies has fueled the American-led wars in the past two decades, in Iraq, Syria , Ukraine, and most recently, the Israeli genocide in Gaza and the ongoing US-Israeli war on Iran.” He continued: “Lindsey Graham stands as the typical politician of this unholy alliance - a politician whose words and votes consistently prioritize the profits of the war industry and the expansionist ambitions of a foreign state (Israel) over the wellbeing of the American people who fund it all with their tax dollars.” While there is more than a little conspiratorial scuttlebutt about the circumstances of Graham’s demise, given that he had just returned to the US from visiting a drone factory in Ukraine, commentator Pepe Escobar summed it up in his inimitable way: “Whether a warmongering vermin … had a ‘sudden illness’ or received a missile business card is irrelevant. The problem is all the horrors he personified persist.” One of these horrors is the political system of which Graham was such an integral part. It, too, persists - despite signs of its demise. The views expressed in this article belong to the author and do not necessarily reflect the editorial policy of Middle East Eye. US Politics Opinion Post Date Override 0 Update Date Mon, 05/04/2020 - 21:29 Update Date Override 0

August 4, 2026

Militaryseverity 8

Netanyahu says Israel 'prepared to act more broadly' in occupied West Bank

Netanyahu says Israel 'prepared to act more broadly' in occupied West Bank Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu told reporters on Sunday that Israel is "prepared to act more broadly" in the occupied West Bank following a surge in settler attacks and military raids against Palestinians over the weekend. “The instructions we gave were to enter villages, search them, seize weapons and make arrests,” Netanyahu said.

August 4, 2026

Socialseverity 6

Female football referee suffers concussion amid male players’ melee

Referee Mathilde Demoncay was knocked down as the players fought during a friendly club match in France.

August 4, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 9

Anti-war protesters demand end to US use of UK airbase to strike Iran

Anti-war activists have protested outside a UK airbase over US forces using it to bomb Iran

August 4, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Settler attacks on Palestinians soar by 63 percent in first half of 2026

Settler attacks on Palestinians soar by 63 percent in first half of 2026 Israeli Army Radio has reported a sharp uptick in settler violence against Palestinians in the first six months of 2026. According to the report, 660 attacks were recorded in the first half of this year, compared to 405 in the same period in 2025. It added that this weekend saw "an unusual number of 30 nationalist crime incidents". Rights groups have condemned what UN expert Francesca Albanese described as a "pogrom" of settler violence and Israeli detentions of Palestinians across the occupied West Bank on Saturday. Four Palestinians were killed by Israeli fire, some 80 detained and mosques set alight by Israeli settlers.

August 4, 2026

Naturalseverity 7

Luke Combs review – regular Joe megastar brings the arena-sized party home

Murrayfield Stadium, Edinburgh Despite his humble persona, the highest-selling country artist of all time has the vocal firepower and hard-hitting hits to deliver two hours of crowd-pleasin’ pyrotechnics The first we see of Luke Combs, the North Carolina-born megastar is walking through the stadium crowd. Cap pulled low, with a bashful look on his face, the stunt is less pap walk, more regular Joe dodging a flashmob on his way to work. Combs is now the highest-selling country artist of all time, but he wears his success with humility: when he finally reaches his saloon-themed stage, with near-70,000 screaming fans before him, he keeps that unassuming presence. “Normally I’d ask how you’re feeling tonight, but I know how you’re feeling tonight,” he smiles. This week, Combs will perform to more than half a million fans across just seven dates in England, Scotland and Ireland: a remarkable coronation for an artist yet to have a Top 10 single here. Not that you’d know it, from the way the crowd screams every word to his 2016 hit Hurricane, a soft-rock heartacher about running into your ex in a bar, elevated by a cinematic chorus (“moon went hidin’, stars quit shinin’”) that’s closer to early-doors Taylor than any country-bro machismo. Continue reading...

August 4, 2026

Socialseverity 6

All the Ways You Can Make Reading on Your Phone Easier

Tired of eye strain? These tips will help optimize your smartphone for marathon reading sessions.

August 4, 2026

Socialseverity 6

Last chance to apply for help with school costs

The bonus scheme offers a one-off payment of up to £150 towards school essentials.

August 4, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 8

US says it will maintain Iran naval blocakade, redirects 12 vessels

US says it will maintain Iran naval blocakade, redirects 12 vessels US Central Command (Centcom) confirmed on Sunday that it will main its naval blockade against Iran, saying it had “redirected 12 commercial vessels trying to run the blockade, disabled 2 that didn’t comply, and boarded 2″. US forces also stopped a ship crossing the Strait of Hormuz on Friday “after the crew attempted to violate the blockade multiple times and ignored repeated warnings”.

August 4, 2026

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