Catalogue
Scenario archive
Open feed of trigger events. Click a card to see the chain, A/B/C probabilities and the fact-check after the horizon resolves.
Civilian infrastructure damaged during drone attack on St. Petersburg
Governor Alexander Beglov heads a crisis response center that coordinates first responders, utility workers and intra-departmental communications
August 3, 2026
Resource-rich Sarawak's rise gives it greater influence in Malaysia
August 3, 2026
Japanese militant who took part in 1972 Israel airport attack dies in Beirut
Kozo Okamoto, the Japanese militant who took part in a deadly attack on Tel Aviv’s airport more than five decades ago, died on Thursday in Beirut, the Palestinian group that had been protecting him said. He was 78. The Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine, a faction that is the second-largest group in the Palestine Liberation Organization, said that Okamoto had been ill for a long time. Okamoto, who made rare public appearances since he settled in Lebanon after being released from...
August 3, 2026
Hun Manet vows to make Cambodia ‘not worth staying’ for scammers
Cambodian Prime Minister Hun Manet pledged to step up a crackdown on transnational online scam networks, but warned the criminal syndicates were adapting by fracturing into smaller, decentralised cells across the region. Authorities had already shut down more than 670 illegal scam operations while expanding intelligence sharing with key international law enforcement partners, he said, including during a visit this week with US Federal Bureau of Investigation Director Kash Patel. “We will make...
August 3, 2026
Metals Fluctuate as Middle East Escalation Keep Bulls in Check
Base metals fluctuated at the end of the week as the threat of an escalating conflict in the Middle East — and more turbulence for the global economy — kept a lid on optimism.
August 3, 2026
Nobel economist on anti-China, anti-science US, AI’s risks
Simon Johnson is a professor of entrepreneurship at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT). A former chief economist of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), he won a joint Nobel Prize for economics in 2024 for his research into how institutions shape national prosperity. On June 8, the British government announced Johnson as chair of its new AI Economics Institute. In this interview, conducted on the sidelines of the UBS Asian Investment Conference in Hong Kong, Johnson discussed the...
August 3, 2026
India’s Markets Shrug Off Student Protests for Now
Student protests in India’s capital, a political headache for Prime Minister Narendra Modi, aren’t reflecting in the country’s financial markets.
August 3, 2026
What are the Abraham Accords?
US President Donald Trump has seemingly backpedalled on a nuclear deal with Saudi Arabia.
August 3, 2026
Two civilians wounded in Ukrainian shelling attacks on DPR in past day
In all, 34 munitions of various types were fired in the reported period
August 3, 2026
South Africa rejects ICC petition
The Department of International Relations and Cooperation said the filing failed to satisfy the "statutory legal triggers and jurisdictional requirements necessary for action by the Court."
August 3, 2026
Trump weighs bigger Iran strikes as two-front risk grows
US President Donald Trump said he is "seriously considering" launching renewed large-scale military operations against Iran, including strikes larger than the US military campaign codenamed "Operation Epic Fury," which was launched on February 28, Axios reported on Thursday.
August 3, 2026
15 killed, 40 injured as rains, floods wreak havoc in Pakistan
15 killed, 40 injured as rains, floods wreak havoc in Pakistan
August 3, 2026
Chinese FM urges Britain to provide fair environment for Chinese firms
Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi on Thursday called on Britain to provide Chinese companies operating in the country with a fair, equitable and non-discriminatory business environment, and avoid imposing security implications on economic and trade issues.
August 3, 2026
Climate change exacerbating drought across Europe
Climate change exacerbating drought across Europe
August 3, 2026
Chinese FM urges deeper cooperation among Global South countries
Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi held talks with his counterparts from Brazil, Bangladesh, Brunei, India, Papua New Guinea and Vietnam on the sidelines of the 59th ASEAN Foreign Ministers' Meeting and related meetings in Manila on Wednesday, calling for deeper cooperation among Global South countries to promote development and strengthen coordination to advance multilateralism.
August 3, 2026
US eyes offshore nuclear reactors
US eyes offshore nuclear reactors
August 3, 2026
UN warns insecurity continues to undermine Ebola response in DR Congo
The United Nations has warned that persistent insecurity in the Democratic Republic of the Congo's North Kivu province is disrupting humanitarian operations.
August 3, 2026
China, ASEAN FMs issue statement on Middle East, energy cooperation
China, ASEAN FMs issue statement on Middle East, energy cooperation
August 3, 2026
Poll: 74.4% warn of extra-regional intervention in South China Sea
Recently, Wang Yi, a member of the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China Central Committee and minister of foreign affairs, elaborated on China's principled position on the South China Sea issue at the China-ASEAN Foreign Ministers' Meeting.
August 3, 2026
Mobile science labs improve science results in South Africa
South African innovation companies that design and deploy modular and mobile science laboratories for schools are helping learners improve their marks in science.
August 3, 2026
Chinese mathematicians awarded the Fields Medal for the first time
Chinese mathematicians awarded the Fields Medal for the first time
August 3, 2026
Israeli cities open public shelters amid US-Iran escalation
Israeli cities open public shelters amid US-Iran escalation
August 3, 2026
Chinese foreign minister meets Uzbek counterpart
Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi met with Uzbek Foreign Minister Bakhtiyor Saidov on Thursday evening ahead of the Meeting of the Council of the Ministers of Foreign Affairs of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization Member States in Kyrgyzstan.
August 3, 2026
Chinese foreign minister meets Belarusian counterpart
Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi met with Belarusian Foreign Minister Maxim Ryzhenkov on Thursday ahead of the Meeting of the Council of the Ministers of Foreign Affairs of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization Member States in Kyrgyzstan.
August 3, 2026