Catalogue

Scenario archive

Open feed of trigger events. Click a card to see the chain, A/B/C probabilities and the fact-check after the horizon resolves.

Geopoliticalseverity 9

Chinese Oil Tanker U-Turns in Red Sea After Houthi Attack Threat

A very large crude carrier has made a U-turn in the southern Red Sea after warnings from Houthi rebels in Yemen that they would target ships heading to or from Saudi ports.

August 1, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Hungarian parliamentary opposition protests PM Magyar’s policy by boycotting session

Only representatives of the ruling Tisza party and six of their colleagues from the ultra-conservative Our Homeland Movement party were present

August 1, 2026

Socialseverity 7

How a 64-team World Cup could transform football’s economics

Spain, Portugal and Morocco are the cohosts of the 2030 edition, but we await confirmation of 48 or 64 competitors.

August 1, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 8

Ukrainian forces strike MiG-29 fighter jet and Pantsir-S1 system at airfield in Russia's Kursk Oblast – video

Ukraine's defence forces have struck a Russian MiG-29 fighter jet and a Pantsir-S1 surface-to-air missile and anti-aircraft gun system at the Khalino airfield in Russia's Kursk Oblast.

August 1, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

India’s ‘cockroach’ protest movement halts marches after police violence

Leaders of the movement say they will continue campaigning but will not stage another march through New Delhi.

August 1, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

India's 'cockroach' protest continues a day after police crackdown

Delhi witnessed overwhelming violence on Monday, with at least 60 protesters wounded. Police said 118 of their men were also injured.

August 1, 2026

Socialseverity 6

How India's youth-led 'Cockroach' movement challenges Modi

What started as a satirical protest against exam leaks in India has grown into a wider movement voicing young Indians' anger over jobs and education.

August 1, 2026

Socialseverity 6

Ordinary Moldovans no longer enamoured with idea of becoming part of Europe — expert

Dmitry Sorokin identified systemic corruption within government agencies and the judicial system as the main obstacle to progress, eroding public trust in the rule of law

August 1, 2026

Socialseverity 6

Rome knows what reciprocity means, Berlin's nuke research: Foreign Ministry's comment

TASS has compiled the key statements made by Russia’s Deputy Foreign Minister Alexander Grushko

August 1, 2026

Socialseverity 6

How India's 'Cockroach' movement challenges PM Modi

What started as a satirical protest against exam leaks in India has grown into a wider movement voicing young Indians' anger over jobs and education.

August 1, 2026

Militaryseverity 9

Smotrich says US fighting Iran is ‘best for us’ and Israel will not join

Smotrich says US fighting Iran is ‘best for us’ and Israel will not join Submitted by Elis Gjevori on Tue, 07/21/2026 - 11:25 Finance minister says the war serves Israeli interests while American troops and households bear its mounting costs Bezalel Smotrich speaks during a a press conference near the settlement of Maale Adumim, in the occupied West Bank, on 14 August, 2025 (AFP/Menahem Kahana) Off Israel’s far-right finance minister, Bezalel Smotrich, has described the renewed US war on Iran as the ideal outcome for Israel, provided Israelis do not have to fight it themselves. "Israel has no interest in joining the campaign - the current situation is the best for us," Smotrich said on Tuesday in comments carried by Kan news . He delivered the remarks at the Katif Conference for National Responsibility, an annual gathering promoting the return of illegal Israeli settlements to Gaza. Smotrich has repeatedly called for Israel to occupy the enclave, impose military rule and establish settlements there while calling for the ethnic cleansing of Palestinians. Israel and the US started the war with coordinated attacks on Iran on 28 February, after Israel lobbied Washington into the conflict, prompting Tehran to retaliate against US military assets across the region. The war was renewed earlier this month with the US striking Iranian targets and Iran hitting US assets across the region. Israel has so far not joined in the fighting. Smotrich nevertheless made clear that Israel still wants the war to deliver its strategic objectives. "[We] must remember that the ultimate goal of Israel, and not necessarily the United States, is to undermine and weaken the regime in Iran - to the point of overthrowing it." He argued that destroying Iran’s economy offered the most effective route towards that goal. "Currently, inflation in Iran is at 85 percent, food inflation of over 134 percent in a total of four months, and the Iranian rial is trading at an exchange rate of 1.9 million to the dollar - and it's going up," he said. Smotrich then returned to the central message that Israel should not enter the renewed war saying that "the current situation is good for us, and there's no point in pushing ourselves inward". Cost of US war on Iran rising Washington and Tehran signed a 14-point memorandum on 17 June to terminate military operations and begin 60 days of negotiations. Israeli officials opposed the agreement and pushed for the campaign to continue. Israel than sought to derail the agreement by continuing its attacks on Lebanon, despite the halting of those attacks being the agreement’s first provision. Israeli general praises illegal outposts driving Palestinian ethnic cleansing Read More » Earlier this month, US Vice President JD Vance said figures within the Israeli government had sought to pull Washington away from diplomacy and deeper into war with Iran. “You have seen this very discreet, extremely well-funded campaign to try to derail the negotiation and try to derail the deal,” he told the Joe Rogan podacst. Israel may now consider the renewed war “good” for itself, but Americans are paying in blood and treasure. Seventeen US military personnel have been killed, at least 420 wounded and one remains missing. The Iran War Cost Tracker has estimated that the war has cost US taxpayers more than $100bn by 16 June, when it last published an estimate. According to Brown University’s Iran War Energy Cost Tracker , American households had also paid more than $71bn in additional fuel costs - about $544 per household. With the war continuing, those costs are likely to be significantly higher now. War on Iran News Post Date Override 0 Update Date Mon, 05/04/2020 - 21:19 Update Date Override 0

August 1, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Песков : Удары по снабжающим киевский режим судам продолжатся :: Новости дня / ВЗГЛЯД

August 1, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

ஈரான் மீது அமெரிக்க ராணுவம் : தொடர்ச்சியான தாக்குதல்கள்

August 1, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Mỹ siết chặt chuỗi cung ứng quốc phòng với Trung Quốc

August 1, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Archer股价涨20 % 联手Anduril开发攻击无人机 - CFi . CN 中财网

August 1, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Guldprisen stiger på dip - buying midt i optrapning i Mellemøsten

August 1, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

talyayý kartýran ölm ! Bologna sokaklarý savaþ alanýna dönd

August 1, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Ukraine đánh giá Nga điều chỉnh chiến thuật , Tổng thống Zelensky phát lệnh mới cho quân đội

August 1, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Ukraine - Krieg im Liveticker : +++ 12 : 43 UNO : Zahl getöteter Zivilisten im Ukraine - Krieg stark gestiegen +++

August 1, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

إصابة 6 أشخاص في انقلاب ميكروباص بالطريق الأوسطي - بوابة الشروق

August 1, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

LUE sanctionne AliExpress dun demi - milliard deuros

August 1, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Vladimir Zelenski razmatra smenu Aleksandra Sirskog , poznato ko bi ga moga naslediti

August 1, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Η Ελλάδα αποκτά νέα αντιαεροπορικά – Αποφασίζει την Πέμπτη το ΚΥΣΕΑ

August 1, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Udalosť dňa : united states podnikli ďalšiu vlnu útokov na Irán , ten útočil na ciele v Jordánsku aj v Bahrajne | Svet | . týždeň

August 1, 2026

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