Catalogue

Scenario archive

Open feed of trigger events. Click a card to see the chain, A/B/C probabilities and the fact-check after the horizon resolves.

Geopoliticalseverity 8

Latest Oil Market News and Analysis for July 20

Oil held a two-day gain as the US and Iran continued hostilities in the Middle East, while Yemen’s Houthi militants threatened to blockade Saudi Arabia’s maritime traffic in the Red Sea.

July 31, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 9

Conflict Rattles Stocks, Bonds as Oil Holds Gains: Markets Wrap

Oil held near its highest close since mid-June — weighing on stocks and bonds — as an escalation in Middle East hostilities outweighed attempts to bring about a pause in the war.

July 31, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Protests over defense minister Fyodorov's dismissal spread to 16 Ukrainian cities

Demonstrations had taken place in Kiev, Chernigov, Dnepropetrovsk, Ivano-Frankovsk, Kharkov, Lutsk, Lvov, Nikolayev, Odessa, Ternopol, Sumy and Zaporozhye

July 31, 2026

Economicseverity 7

US imposes 50% import tariffs on range of Canadian goods

Energy products, critical minerals, seafood and potash will be exempt from the new tariffs

July 31, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

State Department Frames Cuba as Major Threat via Left-Wing Groups

The report comes amid growing U.S. efforts to overturn Cuba’s government.

July 31, 2026

Socialseverity 6

World Cup champions Spain return to royal welcome, parade through Madrid

Tens of thousands of fans greet La Roja as they travel down Madrid's historic avenues to Cibeles Square.

July 31, 2026

Economicseverity 7

Trump imposes 50% tariffs on Canadian goods, citing disputes over cars, alcohol and cheese

US President Donald Trump on Monday imposed 50 per cent tariffs on most Canadian goods, declaring that Canada has unfairly discriminated against American cars, alcohol and dairy products. The move could unleash a new wave of economic chaos, with risks of higher inflation and further fraying of relations between two nations that had been closely woven together before Trump’s return to the White House. The administration official previewing the action said that Canada was one of the only nations...

July 31, 2026

Socialseverity 7

Donald Trump has to let it linger as he hangs on for Spain’s World Cup celebrations

For the second time in as many years, the US president made sure he was a part of a moment of triumph he had little to do with He did it again . There was a world championship trophy, waiting to be held aloft at the same gargantuan stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey. There was Gianni Infantino, waiting alongside the US president. And there was that same US president, Donald Trump, fresh off a round of stadium-wide booing and jeering, handing off the trophy with Infantino and then staying stubbornly in the frame as another team enjoyed the pinnacle of their professional careers with an octogenarian standing awkwardly in the shot. Should we be surprised? Marc Cucurella probably wasn’t – the defender was on stage for both occasions, first as a member of Chelsea as they lifted the 2025 Club World Cup, and then again on Sunday when Trump once again remained in the shot as Spain celebrated their World Cup victory. Continue reading...

July 31, 2026

Socialseverity 7

A pioneer and a superstar, Kevin Keegan’s achievements were extraordinary

The former England manager may be remembered by many for his ‘I’d love it’ rant in 1996, but that should not obscure the remarkable nature of his football career Kevin Keegan, who has died aged 75 , is the only British player to win the Ballon d’Or twice, was the star of Liverpool’s first European Cup-winning team, a messianic figure at Newcastle United as a player and coach, forging a team so memorable that Fifa’s president wrote to commend him, and was the captain and then manager of the England men’s national team. And yet, as Keegan would ruefully reflect, he will principally be remembered by many for an emotional outburst that precipitated Newcastle’s historic failure in a Premier League title race, a TV interview which presaged the coming era of the modern game. Keegan’s “I’d love it” rant of April 1996, directed at Alex Ferguson, became a meme before the modern meaning of the word and social media even existed, repeatedly played on Sky Sports and becoming indelibly marked in the minds of multiple generations, many not even born when it occurred. It frequently tops polls as the most memorable moment in Premier League history and foreshadowed an era where digital clips and personality narratives would dominate football coverage. Continue reading...

July 31, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

The first UL 3700-compliant plug-in solar microinverter is now available in the US

It's a step toward making alternative energy accessible on a smaller, renter-friendly scale.

July 31, 2026

Socialseverity 6

Gallery: Spain celebrate World Cup triumph in Madrid

Thousands of fans take to the streets of Madrid as the Spain squad enjoy a bus parade after winning the World Cup.

July 31, 2026

Socialseverity 6

Six things we learnt from Andy Burnham’s choices for his top team

New prime minister signals he will depart from Keir Starmer’s approach in some areas while stressing continuity in others

July 31, 2026

Economicseverity 7

Trump signs order imposing new 50% tariffs on certain Canadian goods

US President Donald Trump signed orders on Monday imposing new 50% tariffs on some Canadian goods, citing what the White House called Canada's "discriminatory treatment" of US alcohol, automobiles and dairy products. The tariffs take effect in 30 days, with energy, potash and sector-specific imports exempted, the White House said.

July 31, 2026

Socialseverity 6

The Odyssey turned me into an IMAX believer

After seeing Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey for the first time early last week, I came away impressed, but somewhat conflicted about two of the film's more fantastical set pieces. While those scenes were beautifully crafted and tremendously acted, there was something a little bit off about the way they hit my eye. I spent days […]

July 31, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

FirstFT: Indian police crack down on ‘Cockroach’ protesters

Also in today’s newsletter: Andy Burnham becomes UK prime minister and US petrol prices climb back above $4

July 31, 2026

Economicseverity 7

Donald Trump says US to hit Canada with 50% tariffs

Washington accuses neighbour of engaging in unfair practices in move that could reignite trade war

July 31, 2026

Socialseverity 6

Lebanese army deploys to three southern pilot zones under US-backed security framework

The Lebanese army began assuming security responsibilities in three southern villages on Monday under a US-backed pilot initiative, the State Department said. Operations in Froun, Srifa and Zawtar al-Gharbiya mark the first implementation of a framework aimed at enabling a phased Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon and Hezbollah's disarmament.

July 31, 2026

Economicseverity 7

Trump signs order imposing new 50% tariffs on certain Canadian goods

US President Donald Trump signed orders on Monday imposing new 50% tariffs on some Canadian goods, citing what the White House called Canada's "discriminatory treatment" of US alcohol, automobiles and dairy products. The tariffs take effect in 30 days, with energy, potash and sector-specific imports exempted, the White House said.

July 31, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Albanian protesters pelt lawmakers’ cars over resort projects

Protesters threw eggs at lawmakers' vehicles outside Albania's parliament, demanding changes to laws.

July 31, 2026

Economicseverity 7

Trump imposes 50% tariff on Canadian imports

The duties take effect within 30 days and mark a major escalation in trade tensions between the North American neighbours.

July 31, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

US military says it is carrying out 10th consecutive night of strikes on Iran

July 31, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Бойцы ВСУ начали отказываться от наград , присвоенных Сырским

July 31, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Ігор Яковенко : Нова больова точка Росії : Україна почала відповідати симетрично Блоги

July 31, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

US military says it carrying out its 10th consecutive night of strikes on Iran

July 31, 2026

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