Catalogue

Scenario archive

Open feed of trigger events. Click a card to see the chain, A/B/C probabilities and the fact-check after the horizon resolves.

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Nga lần đầu tấn công nhà máy của Mỹ , tên lửa phát nổ trên bầu trời nước NATO - Báo Trung Quốc bất ngờ trước lựa chọn của Moscow

August 9, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

بولندا تستدعي السفير الروسي إثر سقوط صاروخ داخل أراضيها

August 9, 2026

Economicseverity 7

BlackRock’s ‘Widow Maker’ Treasury ETF Slides to 2004 Low

The rout in longer-dated US Treasuries has sent a popular BlackRock Inc. exchange-traded fund tumbling to its lowest level in over two decades, as concerns around sticky inflation continue battering fixed-income portfolios.

August 9, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 9

Poland protests to Russian ambassador over missile incursion

Warsaw asserts missile recently made, illustrating Russia's nightly barrage against Ukraine is draining arsenal.

August 9, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Strengthening El Nino 'adding fuel to a planet already on fire': UN chief

A strengthening El Nino that could shatter all-time records is "adding fuel to a planet already on fire" and pushing the world into "uncharted territory," UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres warned Friday.

August 9, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 8

Israeli strike injures several people in Gaza

Israeli strike injures several people in Gaza Israeli drone strikes wounded several Palestinians, some seriously, in Deir el-Balah in the central Gaza Strip, according to Al Jazeera. An air strike targeting Palestinians on Salah al-Din Street in central Gaza killed one person and wounded others. Another Israeli drone strike wounded several people, including a woman and a child, near the Intelligence headquarters northwest of Gaza City, earlier on Friday. Palestinians inspect damaged and destroyed buildings after they were targeted by Israeli strikes the previous night, following warnings to evacuate in Deir al-Balah, central Gaza Strip, on 29 July 2026 (AFP)

August 9, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Trump Casts Doubt on New Iran Negotiations as War Drags On

Retired Army General Wesley Clark, who served as Supreme Allied Commander Europe, said the more the US wants negotiations, the stronger the hand Iran thinks it has at the table. Clark said that the Iranian government sees the fight against the US as existential and that it will take more than taking out a few oil refineries to get the IRGC to surrender, particularly as they receive more backing from Russia and China. (Source: Bloomberg)

August 9, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Erősítést kapott Oroszország , több ezren tüntetnek Kijevben - Híreink az orosz - ukrán háborúról pénteken

August 9, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Μάικ Ρότζερς στην « Κ »: Δεν γίνεται να συνεχίσουμε έτσι για πολλούς μήνες

August 9, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

波兰外交部就一不明物体坠落在波兰东部一事向俄罗斯大使递交照会

August 9, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

У Києві пройшла хода з вимогою повернути Михайла Федорова

August 9, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

МЗС Польщі викликало російського посла через падіння ракети Туск

August 9, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Trump losing faith in Iran , expects more back - and - forth strikes

August 9, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Ukrajinac već tri godine ne izlazi iz stana : Bojim se mobilizacije

August 9, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Поблизу Радушного , де РФ вбила цілу сім ю , знайшли вирву від другої ракети КНДР

August 9, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Myanmar leader says Starlink used by scam centers

August 9, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

ОВА : війська РФ знову атакували Павлоград , спалахнув торговельний комплекс

August 9, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Не выдержало сердце : мать погибшего воина скончалась по дороге к его могиле

August 9, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Why did Zelensky leave Washington empty - handed

August 9, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Zelensky flew to a funeral and buried his last big hope

August 9, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

China supports Russian militarism by stealth

August 9, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

China supports Russian militarism by stealth

August 9, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

China supports Russian militarism by stealth

August 9, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

China supports Russian militarism by stealth

August 9, 2026

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