Catalogue

Scenario archive

Open feed of trigger events. Click a card to see the chain, A/B/C probabilities and the fact-check after the horizon resolves.

Geopoliticalseverity 6

总统连遭 逼宫 , 少帅临危受命 德拉帕蒂接任乌军总司令 _ 军事频道 _ 中华网

August 8, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Тайна ночного взрыва в Польше : Киев устроил очередной спектакль у границы

August 8, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Tổng thống Trump : Mỹ chưa chắc cho phép Ukraine sản xuất Patriot

August 8, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Dos rusas , en Francia y México

August 8, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Trump pours cold water on Kievs Patriot dream

August 8, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Trump pours cold water on Kievs Patriot dream

August 8, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Trump pours cold water on Kievs Patriot dream

August 8, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Trump pours cold water on Kievs Patriot dream

August 8, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Trump Dihadapkan pada Dilema , Perluas Serangan ke Iran atau Redam Konflik ?

August 8, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Iran IRGC releases photos claiming damage to US air base in Jordan , challenges CENTCOM version

August 8, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

US signs mega $58 . 6 billion Patriot missiles deal amid rising stockpile concerns

August 8, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

North Korea calls US Forces Japan a war command , says Korean Peninsula clash is a matter of timing

August 8, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Russo - Ukraine War - 30 July 2026

August 8, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Thế tiến thoái lưỡng nan của Saudi Arabia

August 8, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

AS Tunjukkan Kekuatan Drone Laut , Kapal Perang China Jadi Sorotan

August 8, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

US and Iran trade missile barrages as hopes dim for a quick resolution to the five - month conflict

August 8, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

内塔尼亚胡与特朗普会谈现场曝光 : 内塔尼亚胡跷着二郎腿 , 姿态轻松 , 网友 : 仿佛在说一切尽在掌握中 , 而他可能确实如此

August 8, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Israeli forces detonate area in south Lebanon, despite peace talks

Israeli forces detonate area in south Lebanon, despite peace talks Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defense Minister Israel Katz announced early on Friday that the army detonated what they claimed to be a Hezbollah tunnel system in southern Lebanon. Earlier, Lebanese local media indicated that several blasts occurred in the town of Hadatha. Despite an agreement between Tel Aviv and Beirut, Israel forces have continued to carry out attacks and demolitions in southern Lebanon. Over 4,333 people have been killed as a result since early March, with 12,236 others left wounded.

August 8, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 9

Iranian army claims strikes on US facilities in Kuwait

Iranian army claims strikes on US facilities in Kuwait The Iranian army said it carried out attacks against "strategic US centres" in Kuwait using drones, in response to an American strike on a residential home in Qeshm that killed several family members. According to the statement, the targets included fighter jet shelters, satellite communication systems and equipment warehouses at the Ahmad al-Jaber Air Base. "Crimes, sanctions, and threats make Iran more united and coherent in its sacred defence," the statement added.

August 8, 2026

Militaryseverity 8

Lebanese army commander says Israel persists in 'obstructing' deployment efforts

Lebanese army commander says Israel persists in 'obstructing' deployment efforts The Israeli army are preventing the Lebanese military from completing deployment in southern Lebanon, Beirut's army commander Rodolphe Haykal said on Thursday. "The occupation persists in its attacks and repeated violations to obstruct the army's efforts," Haykal told during an address to soldiers. He stressed that the Lebanese military remained ready to deploy "to all areas from which Israeli occupation forces withdraw", saying the army is committed to ensuring "the safe return of our people to their villages and towns". Israeli attacks and demolitions in southern Lebanon remain ongoing, despite a US-brokered deal reached between the two states that includes Tel Aviv's withdrawal from the area. The framework agreement indicates the deployment of the Lebanese army in "pilot zones" evacuated by Israel - which occupies part of the south of the country - to take over the task of disarming Hezbollah.

August 8, 2026

Economicseverity 7

Copper Set for Monthly Gain on Tightening Global Supply Outlook

Copper headed for a monthly advance on growing signs of tight supply, fueled in part by large flows of material to the US ahead of a highly-anticipated decision by the Trump administration on import tariffs.

August 8, 2026

Militaryseverity 8

What China’s hypersonic anti-ship missile fired from a smaller destroyer signals

A Type 052D destroyer fired a YJ-20 hypersonic anti-ship missile into the air, Chinese media footage showed, displaying capabilities that pose defence challenges for the United States and its allies. A YJ-20 missile was launched from a vertical launch system (VLS) of the Type 052D destroyer, according to a video released on Wednesday by state broadcaster CCTV. It is not known when the video was taken. The YJ-20 missile, also known as a carrier-killer, debuted at Beijing’s large-scale military...

August 8, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 9

Drone strikes reported on Iraq's Erbil, Sulaymaniyah

Drone strikes reported on Iraq's Erbil, Sulaymaniyah Fresh drone attacks are being reported in Erbil and Sulaymaniyah. According to unverified reports, the strikes were launched against arm warehouses and headquarters belonging to "separatist groups" have been targeted.

August 8, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Board of Peace announces 'historic breakthrough' in Gaza ceasefire

Board of Peace announces 'historic breakthrough' in Gaza ceasefire The Board of Peace announced on Friday that Hamas officially agreed to a detailed framework for implementing the next phases of the Gaza ceasefire. "The agreement concludes months of intensive, good faith negotiations to advance President Donald J. Trump's vision for establishing new governance, security, humanitarian relief, reconstruction, and economic recovery in Gaza as set out in the Comprehensive Peace Plan and U.N. Security Council Resolution 2803," it said in a statement on X. The statement described the decision as a "historic breakthrough," adding that Hamas will be disarming, which will be followed by the Israeli army's withdrawal from Gaza. The Board of Peace and the mediating countries of Egypt, Qatar, Türkiye, and the United States today are pleased to announce that Hamas has agreed to a detailed Roadmap for implementing the next phases of the Gaza ceasefire. The agreement concludes months of intensive, good… — Board of Peace (@BoardOfPeace) July 31, 2026

August 8, 2026

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