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S8/10Military
Defense minister’s dismissal exposes split in Ukraine’s military leadership — FT
As an example, the newspaper cited the decision of Deputy Air Force Commander Pavel Yelizarov to resign in protest of Mikhail Fyodorov’s sacking
Source: TASS EnglishOriginal source
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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