Catalogue
Scenario archive
Open feed of trigger events. Click a card to see the chain, A/B/C probabilities and the fact-check after the horizon resolves.
Russian air defenses down over 6,000 Ukrainian drones over past week — top brass
According to the Russian Defense Ministry, since the start of the special military operation, Russian forces have destroyed a total of 674 Ukrainian aircraft, 284 helicopters and 227,730 unmanned aerial vehicles
September 5, 2026
Israel not to withdraw troops from Lebanon until Hezbollah fully disarmed — minister
Defense Minister Israel Katz said the capture of the heights on the Ali al-Taher ridge, including the underground infrastructure, the day before, was "an important step towards fulfilling the task" of disarming Hezbollah
September 5, 2026
EEF participants sign 328 deals worth nearly $78.5 billion, envoy’s office says
The Eastern Economic Forum took place on September 1-4 in Vladivostok at the Far Eastern Federal University campus
September 5, 2026
Iran uses AI drones in latest retaliatory strikes on US bases — army spokesperson
Mohammad Akraminia noted that Tehran does not rule out the possibility of conducting preventive operations in the event of threats
September 5, 2026
IN BRIEF: Russia strikes logistics centers, equipment, cargo ships in Ukraine
A dry cargo ship carrying military-technical equipment supplied to the army by Western countries was damaged in the port of Chernomorsk
September 5, 2026
Norway says will provide assistance to Russians from Professor Molchanov vessel — Reuters
On September 2, Norwegian authorities seized the Russian research vessel in Svalbard
September 5, 2026
US launches new barrage of strikes on Iran around Strait of Hormuz
The U.S. launched new air strikes on Iranian targets Tuesday following attempted attacks by the IRGC against American troops deployed to the region.
September 5, 2026
How a middling Chinese guided-missile frigate unnerves Japan, Taiwan and the US
China’s navy has introduced a new guided-missile frigate designed for coastal as well as open-sea attacks.
September 5, 2026
Iran war escalation raises concern over civilian death toll
The recent escalation of the Iran war has cast renewed attention on its civilian toll after Iran reported four killed and dozens wounded at a wedding.
September 5, 2026
Space industry lacks workers needed to rebuild satellites lost in war, report says
The U.S. does not have enough engineers, technicians and assemblers to rebuild military space assets destroyed in a war with China or Russia, per RAND.
September 5, 2026
Nepal’s Deadly Floods Put China and India on Edge
Geopolitical conflict will only get worse with climate change.
September 5, 2026
Nepal’s Disaster Demands a Regional Response
The glacier collapse and floods that followed show why neighboring states must cooperate to reduce future threats.
September 5, 2026
Iran Accuses U.S. Military of a War Crime
Renewed fighting has taken a deadly turn after a month without major military action.
September 5, 2026
Soccer’s Favorite Strongman
José Mourinho’s lessons on how to influence people (and not win friends).
September 5, 2026
India’s BrahMos at Sea: Implications for South Asian Stability
The planned Indian deployment of the BrahMos missile on all of its naval warships has destabilizing implications for the region.
September 5, 2026
A Deadly Flood Underscores the CCP-Imposed Information Vacuum in Tibet
The disaster exposed a stark contrast: open reporting is emerging from Nepal, while information from Tibet remains almost entirely dependent on China’s tightly controlled state media.
September 5, 2026
The ‘Unique’ Communications That Saved Lives Before Nepal’s Devastating Flood
Survivors and experts say that instant word-of-mouth warnings may have saved hundreds of lives on August 26.
September 5, 2026
Indonesia, United States Kick Off Annual Multinational Military Exercises
Super Garuda Shield 2026 will involve more than 4,700 troops from 13 nations, and observers from a further eight others.
September 5, 2026
Ethanol Issue Has Entered Indian Kitchens, Impacting Household Budgets
What began as an energy policy to reduce crude imports has travelled through the agricultural supply chain and ended up on the dinner table.
September 5, 2026
From Partnership to Penalty: US Tariffs Shadow India Trade Deal
The promise of deeper economic cooperation is undermined by punitive measures that could torpedo the India-U.S. pact even before it is signed.
September 5, 2026
The US Arms Bottleneck Is Impacting Its East Asian Allies
Taiwan's Patriot missiles, and Japan's Tomahawks are competing in the same queue as Ukraine and the Iran replenishment. But there are solutions.
September 5, 2026
The Lasting Economic Damage From the China-Nepal Flood
Beyond the immediate devastation, the abrupt closure of the China-Nepal trade corridor – again – will reshape the local economy for years to come.
September 5, 2026
Security Is the Key to Resolving the Thai-Cambodia Border Conflict
“The first step is security: uphold the ceasefire, reduce military risks, clear mines, strengthen law enforcement, and cooperate against criminal networks.”
September 5, 2026
Central Asia’s Energy Transition Depends on Water Security
A more integrated and flexible power system could give Central Asian states greater room to manage drought, hydropower volatility, and competing demands for water.
September 5, 2026