S6/10Military
Air defenses down 159 Ukrainian drones in Kursk Region over past 24 hours
The Ukrainian military fired artillery at evacuated areas 56 times
⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 47% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days