S9/10Military
Trump's Iran strategy: Could this become a forever war?
The US has launched fresh attacks on military targets in Iran. It wants to prevent Tehran rebuilding its destroyed capabilities, but risks triggering a sustained downward spiral of reconstruction followed by new attacks.
Source: DW WorldOriginal source
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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